PRIMARY CONTACT TIMES COMPARISON
THEODORE LUNAR OBSERVATORY
VALUES OF PRIMARY CONTACTS FOR ECLIPSE OF 2003 NOVEMBER 9
Value of oblateness used was 1/102
|
CONTACT |
ILEE |
COOPER |
SOUZA |
HODAR |
COELHO |
VITAL |
PREDICTIONS |
PRIMES |
|
First |
23.3236 |
23.3044 |
23.3345 |
- |
23.3259 |
23.3230 |
23.3225 |
23.3228 |
|
Second |
1.0730 |
1.0459 |
1.0750 |
1.0746 |
1.0835 |
1.0537 |
1.0608 |
1.0559 |
|
Third |
1.3045 |
1.3139 |
- |
- |
1.3110 |
1.3330 |
1.3059 |
1.3107 |
|
Fourth |
3.0434 |
- |
- |
- |
3.0450 |
3.0404 |
3.0443 |
3.0439 |
Summary of Departures from ILEE Predictions
|
CONTACT |
ILEE |
COOPER |
SOUZA |
HODAR |
COELHO |
VITAL |
PREDICTIONS |
PRIMES |
|
First |
23.3236 |
-1m52s |
-1m09s |
- |
+0m23s |
-0m06s |
23.3225 |
23.3228 |
|
Second |
1.0730 |
-2m31s |
+0m 20s |
+0m16s |
+1m05s |
-1m53s |
1.0608 |
1.0559 |
|
Third |
1.3045 |
-0m54s |
- |
- |
-0m25s |
-2m45s |
1.3059 |
1.3107 |
|
Fourth |
3.0434 |
- |
- |
- |
-0m16s |
-0m30s |
3.0443 |
3.0439 |
Seven values out of 14 (or 50 %) were within 25 seconds of the predicted time of primary contact, a reasonable result but not fully confirming the ILEE theory which adjusts primary contact times by allowing for the oblateness of the umbra.